Hello everyone my name is Derek Sabato and I’ve finally returned to writing this column. Taking a long break from writing (and betting) is something that’s necessary. There’s always a time where you feel you’ve run right into a wall and need to take a step back. My step back time was the Super Bowl but with taking a break and reevaluating how you’re looking at and picking games is something that is good for the brain.
For the NHL Playoffs I’m being a homer but I have to be. If I can get the Philadelphia Flyers as an underdog which they are now I’m going to take them all day. As an underdog the Flyers are 4-1 in their last 5 games and in playoff games where they’re the underdog they’re also 4-1. Including the Game 2 victory for the Devils they’re 2-5 in their last 7 vs. the Atlantic Division.
Obviously Martin Broduer looked like a stud when he only had 1 shot to face in the 2nd period and the Flyers fell apart defensively. I don’t see this being a situation where they lose two in a row. Peter Laviolette will not let this team get down 2-1 and the players reactions to the way they played in Game 2 tells me they turn it around. Laying $100 to win $102.
In Major League Baseball the Marlins & Giants are facing off in an afternoon game in San Francisco. Weather is never a good thing in the early part of May in San Francisco and normally the wind is blowing in. Also with Anibal Sanchez (2.73 ERA) and Ryan Vogelsong (4.19 ERA) throwing; the ERA of Vogelsong is high but it’s still going to be under 7 which is what the O/U is as of this writing. The under with the Marlins on the road has hit 7 straight times and Vogelsong’s last 9 home starts vs. a team with a losing record is 8-1 to the under. Last 5 meetings they’ve had in San Francisco the under is 4-1. Laying $55 to win $50.
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