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WWE RAW Money in the Bank Match Predictions – By The Odds

RAW Money in the Bank 2011 MatchIt is time to light a cigar, put my lucky visor back on, and take a look at the WWE RAW Money in the Bank 2011 match coming up on July 17. Who are the favorites and underdogs to grab the suitcase and win the match?

Now we all have the obvious choices for the eight-man RAW Money in the Bank match winner coming up at the WWE Money in the Bank pay per view. However, past Money in the Bank matches have seen some big upsets so why can’t 2011 be any different?

As a matter of full disclosure I think it is fair to reflect back the last time I placed odds on a WWE prediction. Back in February I handicapped the WrestleMania 27 Guest Host and well, let’s just say that I was a little off. I had Shawn Michaels as the favorite with 8-1 odds and The Rock as my biggest underdog at 100-1 odds. Hopefully I can get a little redemption with Money in the Bank.

I handicapped the match looking at a few different things. One, I took into consideration their current push and status on RAW. Two, I looked at how the WWE creative team sees that individual and if it is someone that the creative team would be likely to push. Three, I looked at past Money in the Bank winners and how that WWE superstar compared to them going into the match. Four, finally I looked at the real chances of seeing that particular WWE superstar in the main-event challenging for the WWE championship and whether that is something that could really happen or not.

Rey Mysterio vs. Alberto Del Rio vs. Kofi Kingston vs. Alex Riley vs. R-Truth vs. The Miz vs. Evan Bourne vs. Jack Swagger RAW Money in the Bank Ladder Match.

Alberto Del Rio 2-1 odds – I almost lowered the odds to -125 because I can’t think of a bigger favorite in the last several years to win Money in the Bank than Alberto. However, he is such an obvious choice that it almost seems like a sucker bet which is I went with 2-1 which I think are great odds if you had the chance to bet on the match.

We already all know about the plans for a John Cena vs. Alberto Del Rio Summerslam match. He just won the number one contender’s match on RAW. Del Rio right now has the most solid push of any heel on the roster, including CM Punk. I don’t expect it to come to an end at Money in the Bank but I also wouldn’t be surprised.

Alex Riley 10-1 odds – Alex Riley is the golden boy of the WWE right now. Past Money in the Bank winners all fit the bill of Alex Riley. The WWE tends to use this match to elevate someone that they believe is a star, even if the fans do not. I almost went with Riley as the favorite but I still think Del Rio is the plan here while Riley’s biggest win is down the line in the near future.

Jack Swagger 20-1 odds – The former Money in the Bank winner and former WWE world heavyweight champion jumps the odds here as the third most likely man to win the match. Just as the WWE likes to elevate guys with Money in the Bank, they also like to use the match to rehabilitate pushes. Swagger appears to be one of those guys that goes hot and cold with pushes. Just when you think Swagger has hit rock bottom the WWE will pull him into an angle and elevate him. The timing is right but I wouldn’t bet on it.

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Rey Mysterio 30-1 odds – The resident jobber of RAW comes in as the fourth most likely RAW superstar to win the match. This doesn’t mean I don’t want to see Rey win the match. I’d love it. But, take a look at his recent win/loss record. He has lost two singles matches in a row on pay per view and was just beaten this past Monday on RAW. Quite frankly in the crazy world of WWE parity that actually makes him the favorite.

The Miz 30-1 odds – Last year’s Money in the Bank winner comes full circle with a return to the big dance. Only CM Punk has won back to back Money in the Bank matches and I don’t see The Miz breaking that trend. Plus, he has been relegated to RAW jobber with his current feud against Alex Riley. The Miz was the flavor of the month last year but bad business as champion will make sure it will be a long time before we see The Miz get even close to becoming WWE champion again or grabbing the suitcase.

R-Truth 41-odds – I hate to be the bearer of bad news but the R-Truth push is over. While I think that Truth will hover near the top as a heel, his days main-eventing against John Cena are over. I like Truth but I don’t think anyone would get excited to see a Truth chase for the title as the MITB winner.

Evan Bourne 45-1 odds – Listen, if I was booking this match he’d be my winner. I loved calling this guy’s matches on the independent wrestling scene and I love watching him on RAW. However, he just doesn’t fit the mold of a WWE championship challenger due to his size. I am not saying I agree with it because I’d probably make the guy champion tomorrow if I was booking the brand. It is just the reality of the WWE in 2011. Maybe in 2012 he gets his shot?

Kofi Kingston 49.5-1 odds – I think it is sad that Evan Bourne has a better chance of winning the RAW Money in the Bank match than Kofi but I truly believe that to be the case. Like Evan Bourne, I would be pushing this guy to the moon if I was booking RAW. Unfortunately the WWE creative team doesn’t see it that way. He doesn’t fit the mold of any of the past winners and hasn’t looked like a guy in recent weeks being groomed for the champion.

WWE Money in the Bank 2011 DVD

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Eric G.

Eric is the owner and editor-in-chief of the Camel Clutch Blog. Eric has worked in the pro wrestling industry since 1995 as a ring announcer in ECW and a commentator/host on television, PPV, and home video. Eric also hosted Pro Wrestling Radio on terrestrial radio from 1998-2009. Check out some of Eric's work on his IMDB bio and Wikipedia. Eric has an MBA from Temple University's Fox School of Business.

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