(Originally published January 8 2013) – It is never to early to start making WWE Royal Rumble 2013 predictions. Let’s take a look at the big match, break it down Vegas style, and see who has the best chance of challenging for gold at WrestleMania 29!
I thought I’d have some fun and take a look at the chances that each top prospect has of winning the Royal Rumble using Vegas odds. Of course take these odds for what you will as I had The Sheamus listed last with 50 to 1 odds entering last year’s Rumble. Nobody ever accused me of being a savvy handicapper.
John Cena – I almost didn’t even write this blog this year because Cena was such an obvious choice. But you never know when the WWE will pull a swerve and change gears right? I’d say that the chances of them changing their plans at this point are highly unlikely. Anyone but Cena winning would absolute shock me.
CM Punk – Here is a scenario for you. Punk loses to The Rock yet returns later that night to the Rumble thanks to “some last minute negotiating” by Paul Heyman. If there was anyone besides Cena that I could see winning the Rumble it would be Punk. Maybe a Punk win sets up a Triple Threat Match at WrestleMania with Cena and Rock?
Odds: 3 to 1
Ryback – Ryback has been hot for several months now and continues to come up short in his WWE title opportunities. What a great way to give Ryback a boost than by having him win the Rumble? There are a ton of rumors about a Ryback vs. Big Show match at WrestleMania. Maybe Ryback wins the Rumble, beats Show at WrestleMania, and immediately loses that night when Dolph Ziggler cashes in?
Odds: 5 to 1
Brock Lesnar – If there was anyone besides Cena who should win the Rumble it is probably Lesnar. At this point it is undetermined as to whether he will even be participating in the match. I could easily the WWE pulling a big swerve here and having Lesnar win, tease Lesnar vs. Rock, but go with Lesnar vs. Show for WrestleMania. I doubt it happens but it isn’t the worst idea that they could come up with.
Odds: 5 to 1
Sheamus – Rarely does someone like Sheamus win the Rumble twice in a row but I wouldn’t completely count it out. Sheamus is currently on the bubble according to reports I have seen as far as his push goes. I could envision a scenario similar to Ryback’s where Sheamus beats Show at WrestleMania and immediately loses to Ziggler. If there was anyone on the undercard who has a shot other than the obvious names, it’s probably Sheamus.
Odds: 8 to 1
Randy Orton – I had Orton as a favorite last year and he let me down. I really don’t even know what to think of Orton these days. He is more of an afterthought than he has been in quite some time. Rumors are swirling of a heel turn and a win at the Rumble could seal the deal if Sheamus beats Show at some point and then Orton challenges Sheamus. Other than that scenario, I don’t know about Orton taking this one. I do predict that his elimination will likely be the catalyst for his turn. He’d certainly fit the bill though of a guy you’d never think of, yet could win it.
Odds: 12 to 1
Wade Barrett – Barrett is in the midst of a career rebirth right now and appears to be a big part in the WWE’s future booking plans. Barrett would certainly benefit big from a Rumble win and a title shot at WrestleMania. I think there are much better options for the WWE to go with but if I had to go with a true long shot, he’d probably be it.
Odds: 24 to 1
Daniel Bryan – Here is where we start getting into the deep long shots. What are Bryan’s realistic chances of winning? He doesn’t have a good shot but he is not someone you can completely rule out. One thing is crystal clear and that is that the WWE can count on Bryan for a solid match at WrestleMania. Maybe they play it safe and go with Bryan in order to ensure that the world heavyweight title match is a great one?
Odds: 32 to 1
Dolph Ziggler – Why would he enter the Rumble instead of just cashing in his title shot at WrestleMania? I have no idea but he is in the Rumble. It would certainly be an interesting scenario to see Ziggler win both the Rumble and Money in the Bank wouldn’t it? Do I think the WWE would book Ziggler vs. The Rock at WrestleMania? Of course not, but what a huge push it would be to win title shots in two divisions.
The Big Show – I don’t think Show is dropping the title to Del Rio at the Rumble but it wouldn’t surprise me to see him wind up in the Rumble match. The WWE love to book the big men here and Show fits that bill better than anyone. Show is always someone you have to consider in these kinds of matches. That said, I think Bryan has a better shot of winning than Show but you know how it goes. The odds aren’t good but he is always a consideration.
Odds: 50 to 1